Wednesday, June 27, 2012

Felda Global Ventures Holdings Bhd (FGVH) fair value

Target Price: FGVH: 5.65 (ECM), 5.30 (MIDF), 5.52 (Affin), 5.45 (PBB), 5.65 (M&A)
 
 
The fair value of FGV will be about 20 to 30 per cent above its initial public offering (IPO) price of RM4.55 a share … of between RM5.50 and RM6.00 based on the price earnings ratio of 18 times for the current financial year.

FGV is a large plantation company operating 343,521 hectares of oil palm plantation in Malaysia with production capacity of 5.2 million tonnes of oil palm fruits. It is also presently on an expansion trail, acquiring new plantations and expanding its downstream activities. These measures will attract investor interest and help to support the stability of its share price.

Also the company’s potential geographical expansion and cost reduction when its main focus is trained on business in the international market. The benefits derived from its collaboration with foreign investors will also play an important role not only in respect of economies of scale but also improved competitiveness as well as opening up scope for business expansion.
 
Felda Global Ventures Holdings Bhd (FGVH)'s net profit fell 87% to RM192.17mil in its first quarter ended March 31, 2012, from RM359.05mil a year earlier, on higher cost of sales and administrative expenses as well as the incurrence of fair value changes in a land lease agreement.
 
The higher revenue was primarily a reflection of the sales of crude palm oil and palm kernel by Felda Global Ventures Plantations Malaysia (FGVPM).
This was, however, offset in part by a decrease in revenue from the downstream segment as the result of tolling agreement, following which sales of soy and canola products were no longer recorded.
 
For the month to March 2012 only, revenues of FGVPM included sales of palm kernel. But for periods after that, its revenue will not include palm kernel sales.
 
Revenues of FGVPM for the three months ended March 31, 2012, only comprised sales of fresh fruit bunch.

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