Its Prospects … dated Jan 2013
It is a natural beneficiary of the real estate boom in the southern state of Johor.
The Ku’s family owns over 50% of KSL, the fourth largest landbank owner in Iskandar Malaysia with 1500 acres.
The
company had not revalued its property assets for 10 years and market
observers see upside potential in its Nusa Bestari and Kempas Indah
parcels.
The book value of Nusa Bestari is rm58 million or about rm12 psf while
that of Kempas Indah is rm74 million or rm18 psf.
These
tracts are worth more in Jan 2013 and add significantly to KSL’s net
asset value (NAV) given the company’s low historical cost for the
assets.
KSL’s NAV amounts to rm956 million or rm2.47 per share.
The
real game change for KSL are its Bestari and Kempas Indah projects both
are strategically located near the second Link Highway and JB city
centre.
Apart from property development, KSL also owns KSL city mall and KSL Resorts as well as Giant Muar and
GiantNusa Bestari.
It
is believed that KSL City Mall and KSL Resorts and the two hypermarkets
are generating rm50 million
to rm60 million in rental income a year. These properties are expected
to contribute even more significant recurring income given that the
retail mall and hotel business are in the early cycle or operations.
KSL is a potential REIT owners.
A revaluation of KSL’s assets will widen the discount gap to its NAV.
In the Klang Valley, KSL has more than 400 acres with the rest of its total landbank of
some 2300 acres in Johor.
Based
on the current (Jan 2013) share price, the Ku family will need to fork
out more than rm300 million
to take the company private. The privatization talk came over ayear
after Tan Sri Syed Mokhtar’s privatization of UM Land and Tradewinds
Corp Bhd which has landbank in Johor.
The chairman and largest shareholder of KSL, Ku Hwa Seng has denied talk about privatizing KSL.
Earlier there are rumors in the market that KSL could potentially be a privatization target.
There are several factors why a privatization is possible …
KSL has been undervalued.
Many
property players are building up their landbank in Iskandar, either via
direct acquisition or privatization of companies. These include tan Sri
Syed Mohktar who has
made privatization offers in 2012 to UM Land and TWS Corp which own
substantial landbank in Johor. Given the trend, the Ku’s brothers may
privatize the company given KSL owns two valuable property investment
assets – KSL City Mall and KSL Resorts. These two
assets and two hypermarkets are currently (Jan 2013) generating rental
income per year and are likely to have more material contribution given
that the retail and hotel are in the early cycle of operations.
If
a privatization comes true, the Ku’s family will need to fork out about
rm200 – rm250 million to fund the acquisition, which is manageable for
the family given the assets
in hand.
The offer price could potential be 1.85 – 1.90 per share.
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